New Virginia Poll - John McCain leading Barack Obama 48 percent to 39 percent among registered voters!
Is this poll accurate? Hell yes. The same poll shows Mark Warner with a 54 percent to 30 percent, over Republican Jim Gilmore..
The survey, taken last week for the Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, found McCain with the support of 48 percent of state voters, compared with 39 percent for Obama. Just under 13 percent were undecided.
The poll also showed Democrat Mark Warner is maintaining a huge advantage, 54 percent to 30 percent, over Republican Jim Gilmore in the state’s U.S. Senate contest. Warner leads Gilmore among virtually all voter groups, the survey indicates, even claiming the support of nearly one in four Republicans.
That result tends to underscore the significance of the McCain/Obama polling. If Gilmore couldn’t get more than 30% in his matchup, that makes Obama’s failure to clear 40% even more significant. It means that 30% of people voting for Warner do not plan to vote for Obama, a rather stunning rejection in a state Obama hoped to make competitive.
I believe Virginia is still a red state and the results of that poll will hold true. McCain voters will also support tax raiser Mark Warner and vice versa. It makes no sense but it will happen.