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Saturday, February 09, 2008

CPAC POLL-John McCain-Less than 30% “strongly support” him

Richard A. Viguerie poll results...

Poll Shows John McCain Faces Tough Road in Gaining Conservative Support

Less than 30% of conservative activists at the Conservative Political Action Conference “strongly support” him

            (Manassas, VA, February 9) Richard A. Viguerie, chairman of ConservativeHQ.com, today released the results of a true random poll of 1,000 conservative activists attending the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Washington, D.C. CPAC is the nation’s largest annual gathering of conservatives, and was chosen by former Gov. Mitt Romney as the place where he announced his withdrewal from the GOP presidential race on Thursday.

            The first question asked of the 1,000 conservative activists was: “In your opinion, is Senator John McCain a true conservative?”

            The results:

            Yes                 197      (19.7%)

            No                   595      (59.5%)

            Undecided    208      (20.8%)

            The second question was: “If Senator John McCain is the Republican nominee, I will…”

The results:

            299      29.9%  “strongly support McCain”

            279      27.9%  “I will vote for McCain, but do not expect to work or contribute”

             35       3.5%  “I will vote for the Democratic nominee”

             90       9.0%  “I will vote for a conservative third party candidate if one is on the ballot in my state”

             40       4.0%  “I will not vote”

            257      25.7%  “I am undecided at this time—I need to see if Senator McCain  reaches out to conservatives in a serious and meaningful way”

            “From these results, it is clear that Senator McCain has a challenge in gaining the conservative support he needs in order to win the general election,” says David Franke of ConservativeHQ.com. “Only 3 in 10 conservative activists strongly support him. Even if you add in the people who will limit their activity to voting for him, and all of the undecided conservatives (not likely), he will have only 83.5% of the conservative vote. Historically, the Republican presidential candidate needs more than 80% of the conservative vote in order to win. The poll results show he can possibly reach that level of conservative support, but it will be dauntingly hard.”

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