The Polls
NLS is breaking the news of the fresh Mason Dixon poll showing Sen Allen leading by 16 points. That will make 4 polls this week showing Allen with a lead. The average of these 4 polls has Allen at 49.25% and Jim Webb at 37.25%. That gives Sen Allen a solid 12 point lead going into August. If we figure in the last Survey USA poll also, we have Allen at 50.6% and Webb with 37.2%, giving Allen a 13 point lead.
It is early and anything could happen before Nov. You can count on a solid campaign from Sen Allen with lots of visits and pressing the flesh. He will be in my neck of the woods, Jonesville, in early August! (email me if your interested) You can also count on tv ads and guest spots on the news shows. What can we expect from candidate Webb? Not much if you look at his limited funding. In a comment over at NLS the Mason Conservative, who is a fav of mine, has this:
If Webb enters labor day with these numbers, and down as much in cash, its over folks. I hear the Dems talking about Warner-Kaine raising money for him and how it will be alright--but they neglect to mention that its not like Allen's gonna STOP raising money. For all the money Webb raises, Allen will match it and more. This poll my be soft for Allen, but it still NOT good news for Webb. Webbheads, he is 16 POINTS down and nowhere to be seen! Please tell me how that can be spun as a good thing?
Indeed. Maybe a few more live blogs on Kos and giving Lowell a raise will do the trick!
Also writing about this- Shaun and Bearing Drift
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