More on the Dem Primary

Chad has a good post on the Dem primary. He links this post by Shaun Kenney. I am not sure who will win. Shaun thinks Miller will be the choice while Chad is not so sure. If the actual quality of the campaign is any sign it will be Miller. This battle is about NOVA voters anyway. The last real poll on April 29 showed Miller ahead. Looking at both campaigns since that time I cant see that there would be much of a change. The Miller mailers and TV spot has to impact primary voting Dems. Miller has the local Dem endorsements and Webb has the national Dem crowd. That National crowd may not be as powerful as some think. The hot off the presses Rasmussen poll shows:

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) is viewed favorably by 31% and unfavorably by 39% of Americans nationwide. That's a net 8 points unfavorable.

Frist's counterpart in the Senate, Harry Reid (D-NV) has a bit lower level of name recognition but a bigger net unfavorable rating. Reid's numbers are 20% favorable and 37% unfavorable (for a net of 17 points unfavorable).

House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL) has numbers similar to Reid-22% favorable, 34% unfavorable for a net 12% unfavorable.

The leading Democrat in the House, Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), does a bit better-26% favorable, 34% unfavorable for a net 8% unfavorable.

That combined with the revealing Survey USA poll that I blogged about here would lead me to believe Miller is ahead. I still hold to my belief that Sen Allen will be reelected in Nov. His approval ratings from May show 53%. He had a 39% approval from democrats! Heh. This latest survey was mostly female, mostly Deomocrats, and Sen Allen's number still look good.

Technorati : George Allen, Harris Miller, Jim Webb, Polls, Virginia Politics